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June 2026 · 5 min read

The 2026 World Cup could emit 9 million tonnes of CO2

In short

The 2026 FIFA World Cup, spread across the USA, Canada and Mexico, is on course to be the most carbon-intensive in history: around 9 million tonnes of CO2 equivalent, roughly double the official figure for Qatar 2022. The bigger story isn't the number. It's how hard honest carbon accounting turns out to be, even for the world's biggest events, and how easily a headline figure can be challenged. That's a problem every business now shares.

The headline number

A coalition of researchers (Scientists for Global Responsibility, the Environmental Defense Fund, Cool Down and the New Weather Institute) put the 2026 tournament at roughly 9 million tonnes of CO2e in their report FIFA's Climate Blind Spot. To make that tangible: it's about the same as putting 6.5 million average British cars on the road for a full year.

It is, by their estimate, the highest-emitting World Cup ever held, and it isn't close.

Where does it all come from?

Carbon footprints for mega-events follow a predictable shape, and the World Cup is no exception. Based on the breakdown FIFA published for Qatar 2022, adjusted for the very different shape of 2026, the emissions land in roughly three buckets:

The exact split is contested, which is precisely the point.

The credibility problem

FIFA described the Qatar 2022 World Cup as "carbon neutral." That claim has been widely disputed. It rested on an official figure of 3.6 million tonnes and a set of carbon offsets that several independent reviewers questioned.

When experts re-ran the numbers, the gap was enormous:

The point isn't to single FIFA out. It's that the methodology and the assumptions behind a figure can change the answer several times over. A "carbon neutral" headline is only as good as the methodology beneath it.

Why this matters well beyond football

You don't run a World Cup. Your business probably emits somewhere between a few and a few hundred tonnes a year, not nine million. But the lesson scales down perfectly.

A carbon number is meaningless without a clear, stated methodology. "Carbon neutral," "net zero," "sustainable" are doing a lot of heavy lifting on websites and tender documents right now, and a growing share won't survive scrutiny. Buyers, investors and procurement teams have started asking how a figure was calculated, which factors were used, and what's an estimate versus a measurement.

That's the standard businesses are increasingly held to. A credible footprint states its standard (the GHG Protocol), names its emission factors (the UK Government's DEFRA figures), labels its estimates as estimates, and says plainly when it hasn't been independently verified. The number matters less than the working behind it.

The encouraging part: doing it properly used to mean a consultant, a five-figure invoice and a six-week wait. It doesn't any more. A small UK business can now answer the questions a tender or a customer is asking, a GHG Protocol aligned carbon report in the recognised format, the same day, from £149.

The World Cup will keep getting bigger, and its footprint with it. The least the rest of us can do is measure our own carefully, and show our working.

Measure your own footprint honestly. A GHG Protocol aligned report, same day, from £149.
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Questions
What is the carbon footprint of the 2026 World Cup?
Independent researchers (Scientists for Global Responsibility, the Environmental Defense Fund, Cool Down and the New Weather Institute) estimate the 2026 FIFA World Cup will generate around 9 million tonnes of CO2 equivalent, making it the most carbon-intensive World Cup ever, roughly double the official figure for Qatar 2022. That is comparable to about 6.5 million average British cars driven for a year.
What is the biggest source of World Cup emissions?
Air travel. At Qatar 2022 travel made up about half of the total footprint, and the 2026 tournament is worse on this measure: it spans three countries (USA, Canada and Mexico), has expanded to 48 teams and 104 matches, and requires huge amounts of international and inter-city flying by teams and fans.
Was the Qatar 2022 World Cup really carbon neutral?
The claim is widely disputed. FIFA described the 2022 tournament as carbon neutral, based on an official figure of 3.6 million tonnes and a set of offsets that several independent reviewers questioned. Carbon analyst Mike Berners-Lee estimated the true figure was closer to 10 million tonnes, and Carbon Market Watch put it as high as 18 million tonnes, partly because of how the emissions of new, single-use stadiums were accounted for across a long lifetime of use.
How can a business measure its own carbon footprint?
By calculating emissions against a recognised standard (the GHG Protocol) using published emission factors (the UK Government’s DEFRA figures), labelling estimates clearly, and stating plainly whether the report has been independently verified. Emissio produces a GHG Protocol aligned carbon report for UK businesses the same day, from £149, with the methodology stated rather than relying on a single headline claim.

Figures attributed to Scientists for Global Responsibility, the Environmental Defense Fund, Carbon Market Watch and Mike Berners-Lee. Emissio reports are self-reported and not third-party verified; they follow the GHG Protocol Corporate Accounting and Reporting Standard using UK Government DEFRA 2025 conversion factors. Published June 2026.